PS08 Using Decision Trees to Identify Medicare Part B Providers for Audit     Contributed

Noel N. McKetty First Coast Service Options ,Dr. Donna Mohr
University of North Florida
Abstract: Medicare carriers must efficiently identify providers that should be audited for possible overpayments. Using a historical archive of Part B providers who have been audited in the past, we use Enterprise Miner's regression trees to build predictive models of the overpayment rate for providers. We compare these results to those of classical stepwise regression techniques. Our goal is to find markers which would identify providers who are likely to have high overpayments.

Biography:
Noel N. McKetty has an M.S. in Computer Information Science from the University of North Florida and is currently Manager of Systems and Reporting at FCSO.

Dr. Mohr earned her Ph.D. in Statistics from Princeton University. She is now an Associate Professor of Statistics at UNF.